Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000643 0.000726 0.000819 0.000932 0.001066 0.001222 0.001418
2025-02-16 0.000519 0.000629 0.000764 0.000947 0.001191 0.001514 0.001986
2025-02-23 0.000451 0.000575 0.000740 0.000980 0.001336 0.001861 0.002740
2025-03-02 0.000397 0.000527 0.000708 0.000991 0.001442 0.002177 0.003570
2025-03-09 0.000351 0.000479 0.000666 0.000972 0.001495 0.002418 0.004375
2025-03-16 0.000319 0.000447 0.000641 0.000974 0.001577 0.002731 0.005474
2025-03-23 0.000296 0.000424 0.000625 0.000986 0.001677 0.003107 0.006932
2025-03-30 0.000278 0.000408 0.000617 0.001009 0.001804 0.003586 0.008993
2025-04-06 0.000260 0.000388 0.000600 0.001012 0.001890 0.004003 0.011236
2025-04-13 0.000249 0.000380 0.000602 0.001050 0.002061 0.004704 0.015201
2025-04-20 0.000229 0.000352 0.000567 0.001009 0.002040 0.004880 0.017309
2025-04-27 0.000217 0.000339 0.000554 0.001012 0.002126 0.005412 0.021851
2025-05-04 0.000208 0.000330 0.000551 0.001039 0.002289 0.006314 0.030533
2025-05-11 0.000199 0.000320 0.000546 0.001061 0.002451 0.007342 0.043470
2025-05-18 0.000192 0.000314 0.000549 0.001101 0.002681 0.008839 0.067781
2025-05-25 0.000183 0.000304 0.000540 0.001113 0.002834 0.010161 0.100316
2025-06-01 0.000172 0.000289 0.000519 0.001091 0.002873 0.010990 0.134464
2025-06-08 0.000165 0.000279 0.000509 0.001094 0.002994 0.012409 0.203561
2025-06-15 0.000158 0.000271 0.000503 0.001107 0.003162 0.014334 0.342007
2025-06-22 0.000154 0.000266 0.000502 0.001135 0.003398 0.017102 0.684165
2025-06-29 0.000148 0.000258 0.000493 0.001138 0.003543 0.019485 1.327479
2025-07-06 0.000145 0.000256 0.000498 0.001183 0.003884 0.024320 4.609201
2025-07-13 0.000136 0.000242 0.000473 0.001135 0.003793 0.024831 7.415542